Interactive demo · In progress

Geopolitical world model

About the project
WORLD STATEDemo · In progress
Sample snapshot

Global atlas

Trade networks

Illustrative routes · no live flow volumes
PACIFIC OCEANINDIAN OCEAN

Loading country boundaries…

Selected nationChina

Explore industrial capacity, strategic resources, military capabilities, and diplomatic relationships.

Illustrative connections · Natural Earth

China / Raw resources

Rare earths

Quarterly production Illustrative element-level series

Metric tons · REO equivalent
Selected rare earths. Sample values for interface demonstration, not reported production.
ElementQ1Q2Q3Q4
Sourced annual context

China: 270,000 metric tons REO equivalent of estimated mine production in 2025.

USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 ↗This annual total is separate from the sample quarterly series above. The sample rows are not an allocation of that estimate.
Selected quarter: Q2 2025

China / Intelligence record

Political assessment

Illustrative assessment · LLM connection planned

Resource leverage and industrial dependence

Evidence status
One sourced annual resource statistic for China. Current policy, treaty, and trade-flow evidence is not connected.
Inference status
Authored hypothesis for this mockup. It has not been produced or validated by a live language model.
Alternative explanation
Confidence
Unscored until the supporting evidence and competing explanations are evaluated.
What would change the view

The intended model would maintain dated evidence, distinguish formal alliances from partnerships and issue alignment, and record revisions as political and diplomatic conditions change.

The research direction

Borrow the systems thinking of grand strategy.

Inspired by the engine and interconnected systems behind Paradox geopolitical strategy games such as Europa Universalis IV, this concept brings a persistent, explorable world map into a modern geopolitical setting. Select a country to explore its economy, resources, military, and relationships through different map overlays.

The proposed world state connects production chains, raw materials, military capacity, institutions, and diplomatic relationships. A language-model layer would maintain cited political assessments, distinguish observed events from inferred intent, compare competing explanations, and track what evidence changes the assessment.

This is an interactive demo of a project in progress. Country metrics, quarterly element figures, military indices, and relationship overlays are sample data. The China rare-earth window separately cites a USGS annual estimate. No live model, forecast engine, or Paradox engine is connected.

Development roadmap

From an explorable map to a testable model.

Now · Country workspace

Inspect a nation at several levels.

Explore map modes, production hierarchies, resource records, trade connections, and a distinct space for political assessment.

Next · Sourced world state

Connect economies and capabilities.

Bind each metric to its source, date, unit, and coverage. Keep alliances, partnerships, issue alignment, and inferred intent as separate relationships.

Later · Model and evaluation

Explain and test how the world changes.

Add cited LLM assessments and bounded state transitions. Replay held-out periods, compare baselines, and calibrate uncertainty before presenting forecasts.

Portfolio assistant

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Answers are composed only from a versioned set of approved public claims. Each answer keeps the evidence it used.

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